An economist with the San Francisco Federal Reserve wrote in their “Economic Letter” from July 14 that tariffs are going to lead to much higher inflation in the weeks ahead. There’s just one caveat, and senior economist Mauricio Ulate admits it up front.
With President Donald Trump’s recent announcement of 50% tariffs on copper imports under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, the United States has correctly identified copper as a material of strategic national importance.
For decades, U.S. politicians have sold free trade agreements as a beacon of prosperity for the American economy. The logic was tidy: “Most of the world’s consumers live outside the U.S.—so if we open foreign markets, prosperity will follow.” On paper, it sounded plausible. But in practice, it became one of the most costly economic miscalculations in our modern history.
If America fails to defend its copper industry today, it will lose the industrial backbone for tomorrow’s economy. The combination of speculative arbitrage, Chinese overproduction, and predatory pricing is decimating American copper mills.
Depending on where you get your information, you would be forgiven for believing that we are getting buried by inflation, the stock market is in shambles, and that we need to start hoarding Chinese yuan to pay for our morning lattes.
The CPA Domestic Market Share Index (DMSI) dropped abruptly in the first quarter of 2025 as the massive pre-tariff import surge driven by stockpiling heavily outweighed current U.S. manufacturing output.
Tariffs were supposed to be inflationary, but so far, they’ve been proven wrong. Inflation over the last several months was not caused by 10% tariffs on Southeast Asia, nor by the short-lived 145% tariffs on China.
The Senate’s decision to remove the FEOC Excise Tax and weaken FEOC restrictions is a blatant giveaway to the Chinese Communist Party’s solar industry.
Any Senator who supports an amendment to remove or weaken the FEOC Excise Tax is directly endorsing China’s solar industry—dominated by companies using slave labor, powered by coal, and compromised by severe cybersecurity risks.