Raimondo Speech Marks Biden Administration Endorsement of Industrial Strategy

A little-noticed speech by Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo last week was a rousing endorsement of industrial strategy by a senior Biden administration official as the way forward for the U.S. economy. Raimondo minced no words as she called for the private sector and America’s educational institutions to join the fight to position the U.S. as…

ITC Report: Free Trade Harms Minorities, Manufacturing Workers, and Workers Without College

A new International Trade Commission (ITC) report on the distributional effects of trade points out that import competition has negative and disproportionate effects on minority workers, workers without college education, and workers in manufacturing.             In October 2022, the ITC published a report entitled “Distributional Effects of Trade and Trade Policy on U.S. Workers.” (https://www.usitc.gov/publications/332/pub5374.pdf)…

Looming Copper Shortage Threatens U.S. Resiliency and Geopolitical Order

The “Green Revolution” promises to produce electric power in a climate-friendly, low-emissions  manner for homes, businesses, cars, trucks and other vehicles. There’s just one giant stumbling block. All these clean-energy sources use large amounts of copper. Global copper demand is forecast to double between now and 2035. But copper supply may not keep up. If…

U.S. Income Inequality Widened Further in 2021

Summary Annual U.S. Census report on incomes reveals that household median income fell slightly and inequality widened in 2021 Inequality and the shrinking size of the middle class have persisted in the U.S. for half a century. These trends are driven by globalization and the decline of U.S. manufacturing as a share of GDP. Inflation-adjusted…

Production Tax Credits Unleash Tidal Wave of Investment in Manufacturing

$22 Billion of Investment to Create 15,000 Jobs The manufacturing incentives tucked into the Inflation Reduction Act have unleashed a tidal wave of investment in U.S. manufacturing unlike any we have seen in decades.  According to CPA calculations, and our calculations are a work in progress, so far $22 billion of investment dollars have been…

House Prices Move Further Out of Reach for Young Families

  By Amanda Mayoral   Summary Americans are working harder and waiting longer to buy homes The cost of a home is 6 times median household income today, versus 3.2 times in 1967 The disparity between house prices and median incomes was exacerbated by the COVID pandemic which drove a 37% increase in house prices…

China Trade Surplus and US Deficit Hit New Records, Driving Global Instability

Key Points China’s global trade surplus is heading for a new all-time high this year. Based on the first seven months of data, we estimate the full-year surplus will reach a record $886 billion. The U.S trade deficit will also set records this year, at an estimated $1.13 trillion trade deficit and a $1.34 trillion…

New CPA Trade Model Shows Broad Tariffs Would Create 7.5M Jobs

  By Jeff Ferry and Amanda Mayoral Broad-based tariffs including tariffs on manufactured imports would boost U.S. economy by 6% and create 7.5 million jobs. Real household incomes rise by 8%. Tariffs reduce imports and stimulate domestic manufacturing output by 18%. Tariffs would generate $556 billion in new revenue, enabling cuts in income tax or…

Pro-Growth Tariffs: Estimates from CPA’s New Trade Model

  By Jeff Ferry and Amanda Mayoral   Can tariffs can be effective at raising domestic output and income? We introduce real-world factor supply elasticities to the standard Global Trade and Analysis Project (GTAP) and find that real GDP can grow by nearly 6% and domestic manufacturing by 18%. The increase in GDP leads to…

Despite Soaring Profits, Corporations are Asking the Government for China Tariff Cuts, Consumer Benefit Doubtful

  By Amanda Mayoral   Summary Corporate profits grew by double and sometimes triple digits during the COVID-19 pandemic. Worker wages did not. Record corporate profits did not stop these importers’ lobbyists from pursuing even higher profits by petitioning for 301 China tariffs exemptions. Removing tariffs on Chinese imports will only further enrich transnational enterprises…