Pro-growth tariffs working paper cover

Pro-Growth Tariffs: Modified Economic Model Shows Domestic Growth (Updated)

Economic models used to forecast the impact of international trade agreements have an in-built bias to favor free trade. This has led these models to underestimate repeatedly the damage done to U.S. manufacturing industry by trade agreements, dating back to NAFTA. The bias or rigidity in these models can be corrected by modifying some of…

Section 301 Tariffs Reduced U.S. Dependence on China, Decoupling Has Begun

Key Points The Section 301 tariffs imposed in 2018 on Chinese imports reduced U.S. dependence on China. While U.S. imports surged by 39% between 2017 and 2022, China imports were up very slightly, and still below their 2018 peak. As a result, China fell from 21.6% of U.S. imports in 2017 to just 16.5% in…

Written Testimony for House Subcommittee on National Security, Illicit Finance, and International Financial Institutions: Dollar Dominance Today and in the Future

Written Testimony for House Committee on Financial Services, Subcommittee on National Security, Illicit Finance, and International Financial Institutions Submitted by Jeff Ferry, Chief Economist, Coalition for a Prosperous America Submitted for the Hearing Entitled: “Dollar Dominance: Preserving the U.S. Dollar’s Status as the Global Reserve Currency” held on June 7, 2023 CPA Testimony, “Dollar Dominance,…

China MFN Repeal Would Generate $198 Billion for U.S. Taxpayers

Key Points U.S. Intelligence Community reports document that China poses the single greatest threat to U.S. economic and national security. Its malign activities include direct threats to the U.S. and our allies, systemic human rights abuses and genocide, and consistent actions to undermine democracies around the world and the rules-based international order. The U.S. government’s…

Post PNTR: 3.8 million Jobs Lost Due to China

Key Points The trade deficit with China has cost the U.S. 3.82 million jobs since 2001. Three-quarters of the job loss is concentrated in manufacturing, a total of 2.89 million manufacturing jobs lost. Job loss has been most concentrated in tradeable sectors. This has led to a decline of high paying jobs. The state-by-state analysis…