CPA Trade Counsel argues that if not for tariffs, Volvo wouldn’t be making cars in Charleston. We’d have Buick Envision-type deals of Detroit automakers making in China instead.
On Oct. 6th, CPA testified at a hearing of the US International Trade Commission on trade agreements. We focused on the failure of economic models to accurately forecast the impact of trade agreements on the US economy. We demonstrated how modifications of the standard economic model for trade can make the model more accurate. We…
This Working Paper examines the impact of the proposed Market Access Charge (MAC) on international capital inflows into the US economy and the domestic US economy. We build a model including the relationships between US capital flows, the dollar exchange rate, US trade, and the US domestic economy. Our conclusion is that a 5% MAC…
After the year 2000, US manufacturing employment experienced a rapid, unprecedented decline with the loss of some six million manufacturing jobs. Many commentators have described this as a normal, even healthy evolution, with workers allegedly moving into “jobs of the future” in the service sector. After the year 2000, US manufacturing employment experienced a rapid,…
This Working Paper presents the results of a CPA econometric model showing that a permanent tariff on Chinese imports would stimulate the US economy. by Jeff Ferry (Chief Economist) and Steven Byers (Senior Economist) The Coalition for a Prosperous America (CPA) has updated a prior study on the impact of permanent tariffs on all Chinese imports. Specifically, we…
Jeff Ferry, Chief Economist Steven Byers Ph.D., Senior Economist June 2019 This Briefing Paper looks at the shortcomings of economic models of trade action, their causes, and modifications to improve the accuracy of these forecasting models. Executive Summary From the adoption of NAFTA in 1994, through the Trump administration’s 2018 tariffs, economic forecasts have consistently…
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director For decades, economists have taught David Ricardo’s Law of Comparative Advantage as if it is an absolute law. But the tide is turning, as some highly respected economists are now moving away from the doctrinaire position that all free trade is always good everywhere, and they begin to acknowledge…
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director Industrial espionage has been going on for centuries, but experts agree China’s espionage campaign is on a different scale from anything we’ve seen in history. It has been going on at least since the 1990s and there is no sign it is letting up. Targets include an incredibly broad…
