Euphoria over artificial intelligence has seized the technology industry, the stock market, and the world. But for the U.S. economy as a whole, the AI boom is very likely to be a huge productivity disappointment.
The CPA Domestic Market Share Index (DMSI) rose slightly in the first quarter of 2024 as domestic manufacturing output edged up and the manufacturing trade deficit contracted slightly.
PVC pipe is critical for U.S. infrastructure, especially as electrical conduit in energy, data centers, and other high-tech sectors. U.S. PVC pipe imports are surging with 2024 import levels over twice as high as 2023 levels.
A 10% “universal” tariff on all U.S. imports, combined with a schedule of income tax cuts would generate economic growth of $728 billion and 2.8 million additional jobs, according to the CPA economic model of the U.S. economy.
USD Overvaluation affecting U.S. trade with the world by $364 billion, compared to only a $30 billion effect from current tariffs. Currency misalignment also has a larger effect in more heavily tariffed countries, such as China.
New Biden-Mexico Steel Agreement will only affect about 16% of imports from Mexico, based on CPA’s analysis (the White House estimates it will only affect just 13% of imports).
So what is comparative advantage? Comparative advantage occurs when the ratio of costs in one country differs from the ratio of costs in another.
This article includes details of products, rate increases, timelines, and the background behind the Biden Administration’s Section 301 Tariff Increase Proposal.
Airbus is the greatest success of industrial policy in modern history. It is the world’s most successful commercial airplane manufacturer, with a global workforce of 121,000 people around the world.
The standard pipe import surge from the UAE, Thailand, Vietnam, and Oman is particularly concerning as these countries continue to have substantial economic ties with countries considered U.S. geopolitical adversaries.
