Currency Misalignment Monitor, May 2023
The U.S. is the most overvalued among major currencies.
U.S. International Debt Has Doubled in Five Years to Over $50,000 For Each American
America’s international debt continues to grow. According to the federal government’s Bureau of Economic Analysis, our international debt, referred to in government data as Net International Investment Position (NIIP) reached negative $16.1 trillion at the end of 2022, in other words a debt of just over $16 trillion to foreigners. This is equivalent to 69%…
Currency Misalignment Monitor, April 2023
New monthly index tracks currency misalignment based on latest market rates Dollar is 11.5% overvalued Japanese yen 29.4% undervalued Chinese yuan 19.8% undervalued CMM is a partnership between the Coalition for a Prosperous America (CPA) and the Blue Collar Dollar Institute (BCDI). Uncertainty about the state of the world economy has dominated foreign exchange markets…
Currency Misalignment Monitor, March 2023
New monthly index tracks currency misalignment based on latest market rates Dollar is 11.2% overvalued Japanese yen 27.7% undervalued Chinese yuan 18.9% undervalued CMM is a partnership between the Coalition for a Prosperous America (CPA) and the Blue Collar Dollar Institute (BCDI). Today we are launching our Currency Misalignment Monitor (CMM). The CMM uses the…
Trade Deficit Declines by 12% in July as Economic Slowdown Begins
The July trade deficit fell to its lower level of the year, a sign of a slowing economy. However, if trends continue, the goods deficit will break another record in 2022.
Mighty Dollar – Mighty Wrong
In his recent WSJ column “Strong Dollar Wins the Inflation Battle in New Spin on Currency Wars,” James Mackintosh suggests that the dollar’s sharp appreciation in recent years has been good for America and may be part of “an essential rebalancing of the global economy.” The costs of a bloated dollar are very high. Trade…
Good Financial Actions on Russia. Biden Must Go Further
On Saturday, the U.S. government, European Commission, and five major nations issued a statement on financial sanctions against Russia which targets some of the largest Russian banks and drastically reduces the ability of the Russian central bank to support the value of the ruble currency by restricting their access to their reserves held outside Russia.…
New Study: Global Currency Misalignment Challenges US Reindustrialization Efforts
A new CPA study, using widely accepted methodology and IMF data, shows that for the world’s major economies to achieve fair currency values and eliminate global imbalances, large adjustments in major currencies would be required. The dollar would need to fall by 16.6%, while the Chinese yuan would need to rise against the dollar by…
Trillion-Dollar Capital Flows Into the U.S. Are Driven By Tax Avoidance, Trading, and a Tiny Bit of Real Investment
Global capital flows are the driving force behind the rise of the dollar, which rose 3.9% in 2021. In the last ten years, the dollar is up 25.5%[1]. The US attracts capital for many reasons, including tax avoidance, speculative trading, and a relatively small amount of genuine investment. The deregulation of financial markets in the…
Can the MAC Make the Federal Funds Rate More Effective?
Background When inflation threatens America’s stability and economic growth, the Fed raises the Federal Funds Rate (FFR). This reduces domestic demand for borrowed funds, and that reduces the growth of domestic money in circulation and thus the rate of inflation. This approach worked reasonably well from the 1930s when the FFR became an official policy…