Summary: This is the first ever estimate of substantial missing import data due to the U.S de minimis program. The “de minimis” provision of U.S. customs law allows imports valued at less than $800 to enter the U.S. duty-free. The impact of de minimis on the U.S. economy is large and getting larger. We…
The U.S. will break a $1 trillion goods trade deficit with the world this year. Neither pandemic, nor supply chain bottlenecks, nor trade war tariffs could stop it as tariff circumvention to SE Asia and a strong dollar make importing easy.
August was another big month for imports, with consumer goods leading the way. At this rate, the U.S. will post over a $1 trillion deficit in 2021, a record-breaker.
Long-term economic growth is the single most important objective for any nation. As growth economist and Nobel laureate Paul Romer has said: “For a nation, the choices that determine whether income doubles in one generation or two dwarf all other economic policy concerns.” In the United States, real income per capita grew in the 3%-4%…
The July goods trade deficit shrunk somewhat but that is not going to stop a $1 trillion goods deficit in 2021. Plus, Vietnam surpasses Germany as major U.S.-bound exporter as China moves offshore to avoid tariffs.
Goods Deficit Also Sets Monthly Record at $93.2 Billion Department of Commerce figures published this morning show that in June the U.S. reported a trade deficit of $75.7 billion, a new record for U.S. and world history. The deficit was 6.7 percent higher than the May figure, and 49.4 percent worse than the year-ago June…
Despite a decline in imports from China, the U.S. trade deficit in May is up again thanks in large part to commodities imports like oil and Canadian timber. At this pace, a $1 trillion goods deficit is guaranteed for 2021.
Germany is as problematic as China. Authors Michael Pettis and Matthew Klein remind us why.
Our March deficit hits a record for the month. Southeast Asia deficits now rising with the U.S. to record highs.