Long-term economic growth is the single most important objective for any nation. As growth economist and Nobel laureate Paul Romer has said: “For a nation, the choices that determine whether income doubles in one generation or two dwarf all other economic policy concerns.” In the United States, real income per capita grew in the 3%-4%…
Goods Deficit Also Sets Monthly Record at $93.2 Billion Department of Commerce figures published this morning show that in June the U.S. reported a trade deficit of $75.7 billion, a new record for U.S. and world history. The deficit was 6.7 percent higher than the May figure, and 49.4 percent worse than the year-ago June…
The US International Trade Commission (ITC) recently released a comprehensive analysis of the economic impact of all trade agreements the United States has entered into since 1985. Trade agreement negotiation, passage and implementation has been controversial throughout this time period. The ITC report is significant as the first recognition by a federal government trade agency…
Key Points CPA’s economic modeling of a U.S.-U.K. free trade agreement that cut tariffs to zero between the two countries shows that such an agreement would increase unemployment by more than 2,000 jobs and reduce U.S. GDP by $142 million. This economic model includes for the first time a methodology for estimating job loss due…
A year ago, at the height of the pandemic, a severe shortage of vital personal protective equipment (PPE) hit America. Hospitals were asking staff to re-use masks and other protective equipment. Health care professionals, political leaders, and ordinary people with family members in hospitals and on ventilators were all in agreement: the U.S. must not…
Executive Summary The CPA Reshoring Index is the first and only measure of U.S. producers’ share of the U.S. domestic market for manufactured goods. It is calculated from federal government data on manufacturing production, imports, and exports. The Reshoring Index for 2020 shows that U.S. producers had a 69.6% share of the U.S. market with…
When President Biden laid out his vision for the U.S. economy before Congress on April 28th, he emphasized that rebuilding the U.S. economy should focus on “jobs, jobs, jobs.” The federal government should give preference to U.S.-made products as much as possible. To hammer home the point, Biden added: “there is simply no reason why…
Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen has provided an early signal of the Biden administration’s approach on currencies and currency manipulation. The US apparently has little intention of using currencies to address US economic problems, including slow growth, huge trade deficits, pervasive inequality, and a lack of good jobs. The economic analysis in the new…
Intel announced last week it will spend $20 billion building two new fabs in Arizona to take it into the foundry business, aiming to make chips for large, important customers like Apple, Microsoft or Qualcomm. That’s good news, but it doesn’t solve the fundamental problem of US dependency on Asia for the manufacture of chips.…
On Oct. 6th, CPA testified at a hearing of the US International Trade Commission on trade agreements. We focused on the failure of economic models to accurately forecast the impact of trade agreements on the US economy. We demonstrated how modifications of the standard economic model for trade can make the model more accurate. We…
