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    San Francisco Fed Economist Says Tariffs Will Cause Inflation, With a Huge Caveat

    San Francisco Fed Economist Says Tariffs Will Cause Inflation, With a Huge Caveat

    July 16, 2025

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    San Francisco Fed Economist Says Tariffs Will Cause Inflation, With a Huge Caveat

    Torsekar: Trump’s Copper Tariff is a First Step. Here’s What’s Needed Now to Counter China

    Trade Agreements: The Export Myth That Masked a National Giveaway

    Trump Raises Southeast Asia Tariffs to Match Vietnam, But Still Cheaper Than China

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TCJA boosted multinationals’ investments overseas more than in U.S.

ArchiveBy Michael StumoJuly 25, 2019

Editor’s note: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was supposed to increase investment by US multinationals here, but it instead increased investment by those companies

Details

Every President Since Reagan Was Wrong About China’s Destiny

ArchiveBy Michael StumoJuly 24, 2019

Editors note: The retrospective analysis on where we went wrong by engaging with China continues. For decades U.S. politicians and analysts told us economic growth in

Details

House deputy whip Cuellar predicts USMCA will pass this year

ArchiveBy Michael StumoJuly 24, 2019

Editor’s note: We agree the USMCA is likely to pass this year. CPA has taken no position as of yet. The USMCA improves upon NAFTA

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Op-ed: Warren’s Jobs Plan Should Go Further in Helping U.S. Manufacturers

ArchiveBy Michael StumoJuly 24, 2019

Elizabeth Warren released an “economic patriotism” jobs plan recently that takes two bold positions. First, it emphasizes manufacturing as the key driver of middle-class job

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Update: Across-the-Board Tariffs on China with Retaliation & Federal Spending Create Over 1 Million Jobs in Five Years

Archive, Working PapersBy Jeff FerryJuly 23, 2019

This Working Paper presents the results of a CPA econometric model showing that a permanent tariff on Chinese imports would stimulate the US economy. by Jeff

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Congress Moves Toward Ban on Buying Chinese Buses, Railcars Over Spy Fears

Buy AmericanBy Michael StumoJuly 23, 2019

Editors note: This is an excellent result that CPA has been working on for some time.  The effort threatens to further fray trade talks with

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Press Release: New Study Shows China Tariffs Could Create Up To One Million Jobs

ArchiveBy Michael StumoJuly 23, 2019

Across-the-board China tariff would produce more jobs, increased GDP Washington. The Coalition for a Prosperous America (CPA) today released the results of an updated studyon

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Mnuchin Currency Remark Seen Raising Risk of FX Intervention

ArchiveBy Michael StumoJuly 22, 2019

Editors note: CPA’s work on currency is gaining steam. Exchange rates are, as we advocate, the next front in the trade skirmish. Foreign-exchange strategists say

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How top 2020 Democrats would respond to China’s mass detention of Uighur Muslims

ArchiveBy Michael StumoJuly 22, 2019

Editors note: This is an interesting article because Democrats are most likely to break with free trade fantasies based upon human rights abuses. Republicans are

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Currency intervention: how would the US do it, and would it work?

ArchiveBy Michael StumoJuly 22, 2019

Editors note: The markets are increasingly expecting dollar realignment efforts by the US. Very good. Washington’s FX policy has oscillated between heavy interventions and benign

Details
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